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Superdelegates for Clinton

Superdelegates to the Democratic National Convention are lining up behind the frontrunner, Hillary Clinton.

Hillary Clinton: 159
Barack Obama: 59
John Edwards: 29
Bill Richardson: 25
Chris Dodd: 11
Joe Biden: 8
Dennis Kucinich: 2

There are still 291 undecided unpledged delegates which can go to any candidate the delegate chooses to support.

Superdelegates are not distributed through a primary election, however they do vote at the convention and are part of the 2162 votes needed to win the nomination. Still, superdelegates can and will likely change their candidate of preference.

Pat Robertson Endorses Giuliani

This could have two effects: positive and a negative.

On the positive note, Robertson is respected in the social conservative arena and this endorsement tremendously boosts Giuliani’s credibility with this key demographic. On the negative note, Robertson is known for saying some pretty wacky things such as calling for the assassination of President Chavez. Because of this, the endorsement may alienate Independents and undermine Giuliani’s electability.

Then again, it may have no effect at all.

Either way, I did not expect Robertson to endorse Giuliani. In the words of McCain, I was “speechless”.

FYI, Robertson endorsed or expressed support for the winning Republican candidate since 1988.

Brownback Endorses McCain

Sam Brownback has once last thing to do in this presidential campaign and that is an endorsement.

In other good news, McCain has edged out Fred Thompson for the number two spot on RCP averages with 16.4%, still far behind Giuliani who comes in at 30.1%. Fred Thompson has fallen from 23% to 16%, while Huckabee registers at 8.1%.

Huckabee Could Give Republicans a Shot

I have always said if Republicans want a unifying candidate for change who has experience and share their values and don’t want to split the Party, nominate former Governor Mike Huckabee.

Here are some new general election numbers from Rasmussen.

Hillary Clinton: 46%
Mike Huckabee: 43%

Barack Obama: 49%
Mike Huckabee: 38%

Even as a Democrat, I find him inspiring. In a sense, he makes me feel like the best days are yet ahead for America. Nominate him, and Republicans may find the second coming of the late Ronald Reagan.

Romney Leads in NH, Giuliani & McCain Battling for 2nd

New numbers on the GOP New Hampshire primary from Rasmussen.

Mitt Romney: 32%
Rudy Giuliani: 17%
John McCain: 16%
Mike Huckabee: 10%
Fred Thompson: 7%
Ron Paul: 4%
Tom Tancredo: 3%
Duncan Hunter: 2%

What I want to know is if Huckabee comes in a strong second in Iowa, will Independents flock to New Hampshire to get in on the fight? If Clinton wins Iowa, it is a possibility as it will be likely she will win New Hampshire. McCain is putting up a fight in the Granite State and I still don’t rule out a possible win for him, even in SC. And what about Paul? I don’t expect him to win the nomination, but he could certainly make a mess of things in NH. $4.2 million in 24 hours is a big deal. Can he deliver?

Just two months to go…

Democratic Congress Still a go for 2008

Rasmussen released a new generic Congressional ballot, which shows Democrats are still the one to beat.

Democrats: 46%
Republicans: 35%

Democrats 11-point lead is down from a month ago where is was 12 points and way down from September when they had an 18-point lead. Nevertheless the results have been consistent since the November elections: The voters dislike the Democratically-led Congress, but Republicans are the problem.

Poll Movement in the Wake of Democratic Debate

I think it is fare to say Hillary Clinton had the worse week politically since the campaign began. John Edwards on the other hand had the most visible presence on the media since his $400 haircut. Since the debate, several polls have been released and it may have revealed something very interesting.

The following polls were taken after the debate.

Rasmussen (11/7 vs 10/29)
Clinton: 39% (-5)
Obama: 21% (NC)
Edwards: 16% (+2)

NBC/WSJ
Clinton: 47% (+2)
Obama: 25% (+2)
Edwards: 11% (-5)

CNN
Clinton: 44% (-7)
Obama: 25% (+4)
Edwards: 14% (-1)

USA Today/Gallup
Clinton: 50% (NC)
Obama; 22% (+1)
Edwards: 15% (+2)

Newsweek
Clinton: 43% (+1)
Obama: 25% (+2)
Edwards: 11% (-3)

The following polls were taken before, during and after the debate.

Washington Post/ABC News
Clinton: 49% (-4)
Obama: 26% (+6)
Edwards: 12% (-1)

An interesting breakdown by Marist. The firm broke down the polls from Monday/Tuesday (before debate) and Wednesday/Thursday (after debate). Here is what they found.

Marist
Clinton: 52% (before); 43% (after) (-9)
Obama: 16% (before); 18% (after) (+2)
Edwards: 10% (before); 8% (after) (-2)

The following is an average of all polls.

Current RCP Averages
Clinton: 46% (down about 2%)
Obama: 23% (up less than a percent)
Edwards: 12.4% (down less than a percent)

Overall, it is pretty clear Clinton is now off from her highs, but she is still far ahead than any other Democratic candidate. Edwards does not seem to be doing his campaign any good. Overall, he is losing support, while Obama seems to be benefiting from the brawl. In every poll, Obama has not loss support or gained support.

This is key in Iowa, where attack politics, like what we have seen in the last week is deeply frowned upon.

The state polls could tell a lot in the coming weeks.