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Daily Rasmussen: Five-Way GOP Race?

New numbers from Rasmussen on the nomination, general election numbers on Kansas, Arizona, and Colorado, plus the Colorado Senate race.

Republicans

Rudy Giuliani: 18%
Mike Huckabee: 18%
John McCain: 14%
Fred Thompson: 13%
Mitt Romney: 12%
Ron Paul: 7%

The Republican race is getting very interesting. Despite being the only polling firm to show such a tight race where five candidates are within six points of each other, these Rasmussen numbers show a very tight race where anyone could win the nomination. Huckabee is surging not only in Iowa and New Hampshire, but nationally. Recent poll numbers in Florida and California shows modest gains for Huckabee as well. All this is at the expense of Giuliani and Romney.

Democrats

Hillary Clinton: 35%
Barack Obama: 23%
John Edwards: 17%
Bill Richardson: 7%

The race on the left is tightening too. Clinton’s lead over Obama is down to 35%, the lowest since July for Rasmussen Reports.

General Election

Colorado Senate Race

Mark Udall (D): 41%
Bob Schaffer (R): 42%

Interesting numbers. Other polls show Udall with large leads over the Republican contender.

First Attack Ad of the Season

Democratic Courage, a Democratic leaning group will be the first to release an attack ad on Hillary Clinton.

However, there is no time buy for the ad. Yet.

The ad attacks Clinton on her ability to stand by the issues she believes in and fight the Republicans. The ad highlights Clinton’s $5000 baby bond proposal, which Clinton said was not an official proposal.

I personally think the ad is a bit… “off.” For one, the ad uses Giuliani to to denounce Clinton’s plan.

While Democratic courage was formed by an Edwards supporter who has contributed to the Edwards campaign, there is not proof the Edwards campaign sanctioned the ad.

Daily Rasmussen: Huckabee Still Climbing

New numbers for the NH GOP primary, NH DEM primary, and general election numbers here and here for Obama.

Republican National Primary

Rudy Giuliani: 22%
Mike Huckabee: 17%
Fred Thompson: 14%
John McCain: 14%
Mitt Romney: 11%
Ron Paul: 6%

We have to be care here. Will Huckabee peak too soon? There is one month until the votes are cast and any thing can happen. Looking at these national numbers, everyone is in contention.

Democratic National Primary

Hillary Clinton: 37%
Barack Obama: 24%
John Edwards: 15%
Bill Richardson: 6%

Clinton is down from his highs and below 40% while Obama is off three points from the day before. Is this an anomaly or the beginning of a trend?

GOP New Hampshire Primary

Mitt Romney: 34%
Rudy Giuliani: 15%
John McCain: 15%
Mike Huckabee: 14%
Ron Paul: 8%
Fred Thompson: 3%
Tom Tancredo: 1%
Duncan Hunter: 1%

Romney is still doing well in New Hampshire. Will a win in Iowa for Huckabee mean the demise of Romney in NH? Can McCain perform a Kerry ’04 comeback?

DEM New Hampshire Primary

Hillary Clinton: 33%
Barack Obama: 26%
John Edwards: 15%
Bill Richardson: 9%
Dennis Kucinich: 4%
Joe Biden: 4%
Chris Dodd: 1%

Clinton’s lead in NH is down to the single digits. She now leads Obama by only seven points, which bares the question: If Obama wins Iowa, does he win NH? I think so. And if Obama wins NH, does he win South Carolina? I think so.

General Election

Barack Obama: 43%
Rudy Giuliani: 41%

Barack Obama: 44%
John McCain: 44%

Barack Obama: 48%
Mitt Romney: 39%

Barack Obama: 48%
Fred Thompson: 41%

Is the Republican nomination was solely based on electability, I would go with McCain.

Chavez Loses Constitutional Referendum

President of Venezuela Hugo Chavez has accepted a narrow loss in a Constitutional referendum that would of allowed him to run for seven-year terms for life.

The vote was 51%, Yea, to 49%, Nay.

Tensions grew as hours passed after the official close of voting with no announcement of results. The referendum on constitutional changes was a critical test for a leader bent on turning this major U.S. oil provider into a socialist state.

An emboldened opposition and clashes during student-led protests in recent weeks prompted fears of bitter conflict if either side disputed the results.

Chavez recently made threats against the United States, claiming he would cut of oil to the United States if the government questioned the results. It looks like that is not going to happen. The U.S. imports about 15% of our oil production from Venezuela.

Romney to Give “Faith in America” Speech

December 6, at the George H. W. Bush Presidential Library and Museum in Texas, former Governor Mitt Romney will give a highly anticipated speech on his Mormon faith and how his “own faith would inform his Presidency if he were elected.”

It is a speech molded after JFK, who in 1960, gave his famous speech on religion.

Here is a statement from Kevin Madden, the spokesman for the Romney campaign.

Governor Romney has made a decision to deliver a speech titled “Faith in America.

The governor has been invited to The George Bush Presidential Library in College Station, Texas to deliver this address on Thursday, December 6.

This speech is an opportunity for Governor Romney to share his views on religious liberty, the grand tradition religious tolerance has played in the progress of our nation and how the governor’s own faith would inform his Presidency if he were elected.

Governor Romney understands that faith is an important issue to many Americans, and he personally feels this moment is the right moment for him to share his views with the nation.

Governor Romney personally made the decision to deliver this speech sometime last week.

While identifying a venue for this address, the campaign consulted with President George H.W. Bush’s office last week about Governor Romney’s decision. President Bush was gracious enough to extend an invitation to deliver the speech at the presidential library.

The invitation to speak at the presidential library is not an endorsement of Governor Romney’s campaign.

Since the beginning of this campaign, Romney has been dodged with questions of his faith: Will America elect a Mormon as President of the Untied States. His religion seems to be a much bigger hurdle in the primary where evangelical Christians see the Mormon faith as a “cult” religion. Still today, more voters say they will not vote for a Mormon than an African-American or a female, in a country built on religious freedom.