continue reading hover preload topbar hover preload widget hover preload

Obama Raises $66 Million in August

The Obama campaign raised $66 million for the month of August. The campaign reports they have added 500,000 new donors and have $77 million on hand. Along with the DNC’s $17.5 million, collectively, the Democratic Party has about $94 million on hand to spend as of August 31.

The McCain campaign has accepted public financing and received $84 million on September 1 to spend for the general election. Any money raised by the McCain campaign after September 1 must be transferred to the Republican National Committee. The RNC had $76 million in the bank, plus $17 million transferred from the McCain campaign, in addition to $20 million in a joint fundraising committee for total of $197 million.

The McCain campaign plans to send Palin to raise money for the RNC in the final days of the campaign.

USA Today/Gallup: McCain +4 (or +10)

McCain got a significant bump from the Republican National Convention, now leading Barack Obam four points among registered voters and ten points among likely voters.

Registered Voters

Barack Obama: 46% (-4)
John McCain: 50% (+7)

Likely Voters

Barack Obama: 44%
John McCain: 54%

• Before the convention, Republicans by 47%-39% were less enthusiastic than usual about voting. Now, they are more enthusiastic by 60%-24%, a sweeping change that narrows a key Democratic advantage. Democrats report being more enthusiastic by 67%-19%.

• Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, a national unknown before McCain chose her for the ticket 10 days ago, draws a strong reaction from voters on both sides. Now, 29% say she makes them more likely to vote for McCain, 21% less likely.

Obama’s choice of Delaware Sen. Joe Biden as running mate made 14% more likely to vote for the Democrat, 7% less likely.

• McCain’s acceptance speech Thursday received lower ratings than the one Obama gave a week earlier: 15% called McCain’s speech “excellent” compared with 35% for Obama.

McCain still has one giant hurdle to jump, however. 63% of voters say they are concerned McCain will pursue policies same as President Bush. Bush’s approval rating is 33%.

While McCain is benefiting from a Convention bounce, it is worthy to mention in a year where Democrats have everything going for them, the Presidential candidate still significantly underperforms the generic Democrat. The generic Democrat beats the generic Republican by 10 to 15 points. Plus, despite the worries from a majority of voters that McCain will be just like Bush, Obama is still struggling. Then again, this is not Europe. Americans vote for the person, not the Party.

It will be interesting to see how long this bump last. It is called a bump for a reason–it is just that, a parabolic bump. If McCain still leads by next week, I say there will be reason for Obama supporters to worry.

McCain now leads the RCP Average for the first time since April.

MSNBC Drops Olbermann and Matthews As Election Anchor

MSNBC has replaced Kieth Olbermann and Chris Matthews as election anchor for the Presidential and Vice Presidential debates as well as election night coverage.

The move follows criticisms that MSNBC has morphed into a left partisan news channel accompanied with on air brawls between the election coverage participants.

Executives at the channel’s parent company, NBC Universal, had high hopes for MSNBC’s coverage of the political conventions. Instead, the coverage frequently descended into on-air squabbles between the anchors, embarrassing some workers at NBC’s news division, and quite possibly alienating viewers. Although MSNBC nearly doubled its total audience compared with the 2004 conventions, its competitive position did not improve, as it remained in last place among the broadcast and cable news networks. In prime time, the channel averaged 2.2 million viewers during the Democratic convention and 1.7 million viewers during the Republican convention.

I personally like the move. I’m not a particular fan of Olbermann or Matthews. Their partisan biases often get in the way of objective news reporting, which severely degrades the quality and integrity of the news channel. MSNBC recently signed Rachel Maddow to host her own show, another sign of MSNBC’s left-leaning tilt. Having said that, I have hopes for Maddow, but watching her on “Race for the White House,” I cannot help but think she is the female incarnation of Olbermann.

David Gregory currently hosts “Race for the White House” which airs at 6 PM on MSNBC. My personal take–it is the best show on MSNBC.

Gibson to Interview Palin

Sarah Palin will sit down with ABC’s Charles Gibson later this week for her first interview after she was named as the Republican Vice Presidential candidate.

On Sunday, Joe Biden challenged Palin to sit down for an interview.

“”She’s a smart, tough politician,” Biden told Tom Brokaw in a “Meet the Press” interview live from Wilmington, Del. “So I think she’s going to be formidable. Eventually, she’s going to have to sit in front of you like I’m doing and have done. Eventually, she’s going to have to answer questions and not be sequestered. Eventually, she’s going to have to answer on the record.”

The McCain camp has been under pressure from the media to allow Palin to sit for an interview. Later this week she will return to Alaska for the interview before campaigning on her own.

Daily Rasmussen – September 7, 2008

McCain is making inroads in the Rasmussen tracking poll, now even with Barack Obama. At the peak of Obama’s convention bounce, he was six points ahead of McCain.

Without Leaners

Barack Obama: 46%
John McCain: 46% (+1)

With Leaners

Barack Obama: 48% (-1)
John McCain: 48% (+2)

Favorable/Unfavorable (NET)

Barack Obama: 56%/43% (+13)
John McCain: 58%/40% (+18)

At the peak of Obama’s convention bounce, he had a net favorable rating of 19 points.

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters say that economic issues are most important this year and Obama holds a 34-point advantage among these voters.

Twenty-four percent (24%) of voters say the national security issues are most important. Among these voters its McCain by 39.

The Republican hopeful also leads by wide margins among those who consider fiscal issues or cultural issues most important. Obama leads among those primarily interested in domestic programs such as Social Security and health care.

The enthusiasm gap is also closing. Before the Republican convention, 54% of Republican were voting for McCain because they were enthusiastic, now that number is 65%. Still, Obama holds the advantage in enthusiasm. 77% of voters are voting for Obama because they are enthusiastic.

The poll includes all three post-Palin speech days and two post-McCain speech days. Monday will be the first poll taken entirely after the Republican convention.

Daily Rasmussen – September 5, 2008

The bounce begins for John McCain as Sarah Palin becomes more popular than either presidential candidates.

Without Leaners

Barack Obama: 46% (-1)
John McCain: 45% (+2)

With Leaners

Barack Obama: 48% (-2)
John McCain: 46% (+1)

Favorable/Unfavorable (NET)

Barack Obama: 57%/42% (+15)
John McCain: 57%/41% (+16)
Sarah Palin: 58%/37% (+21)

40% have a Very Favorable opinion of Palin, compared to 37% who have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama and 27% who says the same of McCain.

Interviews include one day of post-Palin speech and two days of pre-Palin speech.

Daily Rasmussen – September 4, 2008

The race remains steady today, three days into the Republican Convention.

Without Leaners

Barack Obama: 47% (-1)
John McCain: 43%

With Leaners

Barack Obama: 50%
John McCain: 45%

Favorable/Unfavorable (NET)

Barack Obama: 57%/41% (+16)
John McCain: 56%/43% (+13)

Virtually all of the results are based on interviews taken before Palin’s convention speech.

51% believe the media is trying to hurt Palin with their coverage, while only 5% believe they are trying to help. 35% believe the media is providing unbiased coverage. Among Unaffliated voters, 49% think the media is trying to hurt Palin.

On the experience question, 49% say Obama has the experience to be President, while 39% believe Palin has the experience to be President. Among unaffliated voters, 42% give Obama the edge on experiece while 37% give Palin the edge. This poll was taken before Palin’s convention speech.

Daily Rasmussen – September 2, 2008

Today’s Rasmussen numbers show Barack Obama higrowings lead from yesterday, now corssing the 50% mark when leaners are included.

Without Leaners

Barack Obama: 48% (+1)
John McCain: 43% (-1)

With Leaners

Barack Obama: 51% (+2)
John McCain: 45% (-1)

Favorable/Unfavorable (NET)

Barack Obama: 58%/41% (+17)
John McCain: 56%/43% (+13)
Sarah Palin: 52%/36% (+18)

An ominous sign for McCain? It is unclear if this is part of a convention bounce or if voters moving towards Obama in light of McCain’s VP choice. While voters still have a favorable view of Palin comparable to the presidential candidates, the partisan gap widens–more Democrats view her less favorably and more Republicans view her very favorably. Given that there has been a lack of Obama’s convention speech coverage and an ever increasing level of negative stories about Palin, it may be safe to infer that McCain’s and Obama’s movement is largely due, though not entirely, to Sarah Palin.

McCain Raises $47 Million in August

Since the announcement of Sarah Palin as the Republican Vice Presidential candidate, the McCain campaign has pulled in $10 million bringing their total for the month to $47 million.

The numbers are not final and campaign spokesman Brian Rogers says they are still counting.

Because McCain will accept $87 million in public funds, any money raised after today cannot be spent. The McCain campaign says any excess money will be steered to state committees.

The McCain campaign plans on using Palin as fundraiser in the coming months given her success.

This is by far the most the McCain campaign has raised in a month, but it is still less than Obama’s record of $55 million.

Daily Rasmussen – September 1, 2008

Obama continues to hold a small lead over John McCain as both candidate have good favorable ratings.

Without Leaners

Barack Obama: 49%
John McCain: 47%

With Leaners

Barack Obama: 49%
John McCain: 46%

Favorabe/Unfavorable (NET)

Barack Obama: 58%/41% (+17)
John McCain: 57%/42% (+15)

Obama gets favorable views from 85% of Democrats while McCain gets favorable views from 90% of Republicans. Both have favorable views from 60% of Independents.

Who would voters like to meet? 43% of voters would like to meet Obama. 30% would like to meet Palin, 17% would like to meet McCain and only 6% would like to meet Biden.

New party affiliation numbers show Republicans gaining ground. Now, 33.2% describe themselves as Republicans, up 1.6%. 38.9% describe themselves as Democrats, down 0.3%. 28% describe themselves as Independents, down 1.2%. Democrats now hold a 5.7% party ID advantage.